Space Weather Update: 10/26/2016
By Spaceweather.com, 10/26/2016
GEOMAGNETIC STORMS ON OCT. 26-27: A high-speed stream of solar wind is swirling around Earth. Will it spark bright auroras for the second night in a row? An aurora webcam in Sweden’s Abisko National Park is monitoring the skies for signs of green. Watch it live.
Earlier today, Oct. 26th, Ian Griffin photographed a colorful display from Hoopers Inlet in Otago, New Zealand:
“All I can say is WOW! What an epic night at Hoopers Inlet,” says Griffin. “A poor weather forecast meant I wasn’t expecting to see much from my favorite location, but the clouds kind of cleared and I witnessed an amazing display of beams and pastel color.”
First contact with the solar wind stream on Oct. 25-26 produced a strong response, including a G3-class storm that was one of the strongest magnetic disturbances of 2016. As Earth moves deeper into the solar wind stream on Oct. 26-27, storm levels are subsiding to G1 and G2–weaker than before, but still enough to cause beautiful Arctic auroras. Monitor the photo gallery for sightings. Free: Aurora Alerts.
AVIATION RADIATION EXPERIMENT IN PROGRESS: Many people think that only astronauts have to worry about cosmic radiation. Not so. Regular air travelers are exposed to cosmic rays, too. This week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus are conducting an experiment in aviation radiation. They are flying from North America to Europe and back again to measure dose rates on international flights that cross the Arctic Circle. Here are the data they collected on Oct. 23-24 en route from Portland, Oregon, to Frankfurt, Germany:
Radiation levels in the cabin of the Boeing 767 (Condor flight 2091) tripled within ten minutes after takeoff, and were nearly 40 times ground level by the time the plane reached cruising altitude at 33,000 feet. There was no solar storm in progress. The extra radiation was just a regular drizzle of cosmic rays reaching down to aviation altitudes. This radiation is ever-present and comes from supernovas, black holes, and other sources across the galaxy.
The radiation sensors are the same ones that Earth to Sky Calculus routinely flies onboard helium balloons to measure cosmic rays in the stratosphere. They detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energiesspan the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.
This is part of our ongoing program to monitor radiation levels inside airplanes. Stay tuned for results from the return flight on Oct. 27th!
All Sky Fireball Network
Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA’s Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth’s atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.
On Oct. 26, 2016, the network reported 40 fireballs.
(22 sporadics, 12 Orionids, 4 Southern Taurids, 2 epsilon Geminids)
In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point–Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]
Near Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.
On October 26, 2016 there were potentially hazardous asteroids.
Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:Asteroid
Notes: LD means “Lunar Distance.” 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.
Cosmic Rays in the Atmosphere
Readers, thank you for your patience while we continue to develop this new section of Spaceweather.com. We’ve been working to streamline our data reduction, allowing us to post results from balloon flights much more rapidly, and we have developed a new data product, shown here:
This plot displays radiation measurements not only in the stratosphere, but also at aviation altitudes. Dose rates are expessed as multiples of sea level. For instance, we see that boarding a plane that flies at 25,000 feet exposes passengers to dose rates ~10x higher than sea level. At 40,000 feet, the multiplier is closer to 50x. These measurements are made by our usual cosmic ray payload as it passes through aviation altitudes en route to the stratosphere over California.
What is this all about? Approximately once a week, Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus fly space weather balloons to the stratosphere over California. These balloons are equipped with radiation sensors that detect cosmic rays, a surprisingly “down to Earth” form of space weather. Cosmic rays can seed clouds, trigger lightning, and penetrate commercial airplanes. Furthermore, there are studies ( #1, #2, #3, #4) linking cosmic rays with cardiac arrhythmias and sudden cardiac death in the general population. Our latest measurements show that cosmic rays are intensifying, with an increase of more than 12% since 2015:
Why are cosmic rays intensifying? The main reason is the sun. Solar storm clouds such as coronal mass ejections (CMEs) sweep aside cosmic rays when they pass by Earth. During Solar Maximum, CMEs are abundant and cosmic rays are held at bay. Now, however, the solar cycle is swinging toward Solar Minimum, allowing cosmic rays to return. Another reason could be the weakening of Earth’s magnetic field, which helps protect us from deep-space radiation.
The radiation sensors onboard our helium balloons detect X-rays and gamma-rays in the energy range 10 keV to 20 MeV. These energies span the range of medical X-ray machines and airport security scanners.
The data points in the graph above correspond to the peak of the Reneger-Pfotzer maximum, which lies about 67,000 feet above central California. When cosmic rays crash into Earth’s atmosphere, they produce a spray of secondary particles that is most intense at the entrance to the stratosphere. Physicists Eric Reneger and Georg Pfotzer discovered the maximum using balloons in the 1930s and it is what we are measuring today.
speed: 714.8 km/sec
density: 7.9 protons/cm3
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 2037 UTX-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B1 1552 UT Oct26
24-hr: B1 0540 UT Oct26
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2000 UTDaily Sun: 26 Oct 16Sunspot AR2603 is quiet and stable. Solar flare activity remains very low. Credit: SDO/HMI
Sunspot number: 17
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 26 Oct 2016
Current Stretch: 0 days
2016 total: 21 days (8%)
2015 total: 0 days (0%)
2014 total: 1 day (<1%)
2013 total: 0 days (0%)
2012 total: 0 days (0%)
2011 total: 2 days (<1%)
2010 total: 51 days (14%)
2009 total: 260 days (71%)
Updated 26 Oct 2016
Current Auroral Oval:
Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/OvationPlanetary K-index
Now: Kp= 6 storm
24-hr max: Kp= 6 storm
explanation | more data
Interplanetary Mag. Field
Btotal: 4.7 nT
Bz: -2.6 nT south
more data: ACE, DSCOVR
Updated: Today at 2036 UTCoronal Holes: 26 Oct 16
Earth is inside a stream of solar wind flowing from this wide coronal hole. Credit: NASA/SDO.Noctilucent Clouds NASA’s AIM spacecraft has suffered an anomaly, and a software patch is required to fix it. As a result, noctilucent cloud images will not return until further notice. AIM science team members are optimistic that the
Switch view: Europe, USA, Asia, PolarUpdated at: 08-06-2016 16:55:02
Updated at: 2016 Oct 25 2200 UTC
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth’s magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe stormUpdated at: 2016 Oct 25 2200 UTCMid-latitudes